![]() ![]() Kyiv has yet to deploy the bulk of its counteroffensive brigades. To be clear, the 33rd and 47th Brigades are just two of the nine brigades the Ukrainian army, marine corps and air-assault forces stood up specifically for the current counteroffensive. Would they have enough combat power left to exploit that breach and reach Melitopol? The 33rd and 47th Brigades might have no choice but to attempt a direct breach of the Tokmak line-and they could lose even more vehicles in that assault than they did in their failed assault outside Mala Tokmachka. While the brigades might be able to maneuver around the Mala Tokmachka line, the Tokmak line is wider and denser. The 33rd and 47th Brigades lost around a fifth of their combined heavy combat vehicles trying, and apparently failing, to force their way through the Mala Tokmachka fortifications. Liberating Melitopol would cut the overland supply lines to Crimea, softening the peninsula in advance of a possible Ukrainian effort to eject its Russian occupiers.īut as complex as Russian defenses are outside Mala Tokmachka, they’re even more complex in Tokmak. If the Ukrainians can break through the trenches and earthworks around Tokmak and cross the Tokmak River, they might be able to race all the way to Melitopol, a strategic city near the Sea of Azov. ![]()
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